A recent poll from SurveyUSA puts Michael Steele ahead of Ben Cardin.

Contribute to Steele here and volunteer to help in Maryland here.

Conrad Burns is in a dead heat with radical Jon Tester.

Contribute to Burns here, and volunteer to help in Montana here.

Both are my guests today, and a win in either place seals Democratic defeat in the Senate.  Both are in play and deserve your help.

I get a lot of e-mail asking me why I point to polls like the one favoring Steele when I discount some polls favoring some Democrats.

Because this question comes mostly from lefties, I will pause to explain in as uncomplicated a fashion as possible.

Polling methodology and models favors Democrats.

So polls that show Republicans tied or ahead I see as indicating a race in which the Republican is in the lead.

Polls that show a Republican within striking distance I see as a poll indicating a dead heat.

It shouldn't be that hard to grasp, even for a lefty.