I had not seen the results of the Mackinac Straw Poll when I posted below on the PPI California Poll. This is not just a very big win for Governor Romney, but a very bad knock on Mayor Giuliani and Senator Thompson, both of whom made appearances to gin up some support in the balloting, support that did not materialize.
Bottom line: The GOP needs to put some blue states into play to avoid having this be a wholly defensive attempt to hang on to the Bush states of 2004. A Romney candidacy puts Michigan very much into play, and probably Wisconsin, Minnesota, New Hampshire and Maine as well.