UPDATE: Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison on Bloomberg this morning:
Well, the compromise bill has some good points, but it also has some big holes in my opinion. I think that not having any requirement that a person go home to apply before coming in legally is a gaping hole. And I’m concerned about the impact on our Social Security system of people who got quarters credited illegally being able to use those quarters to go into our Social Security system. Those are two areas where I think we must strengthen the bill.
Senator Hutchison is signaling that the McCain jam down is in serious trouble. There are many other "big holes" in the bill as noted below. Expect other GOP senators to underscore them throughout the day. There is no way the bill gets through the Senate this week, and the Memorial Day recess will expose the GOP caucus to the base's boiling anger with the bill --and Senator McCain.
ORIGINAL POST
My 72 hours with the draft immigration bill began with an interview with Tony Snow and concluded yesterday afternoon. It yielded just under 10,000 words, spread over a dozen posts. I have had some requests to make the posts available in an easy-to-print and e-mail format, so here they are, beginning with Part 1 of the analysis. Posts on the interview with Tony, the e-mail from the Border Patrol agent, and one on the GOP's predicament follow the series on the draft bill itself. Be sure to read Dean's excellent summary of the situation the GOP finds itself in below. Then call GOP Senate Leader McConnell, GO Senate Whip Lott, and third-in-command Jon Kyl at 202-225-3121 to express your views. You can also examine the bill most easily by using N.Z. Bear's online version which also allows for comments on a section-by-section basis --a model that the Congress might consider using before announcing a John McCain jam down.
Reading The Fine Print, Part 1: Does The First Exception Swallow The Triggers Whole?
Posted by Hugh Hewitt | 3:08 PM
The draft of the immigration bill was released just before midnight last night, and I have now printed off all of its 326 pages and have begun reading it.
The obvious injustice of demanding a fast track to a cloture vote is the complexity of this law. Page 1, paragraph one, for example, purports to establish the much acclaimed "triggers," but begins with a cross reference to an exception to the trigger:
SEC. 1 EFFECTIVE DATE TRIGGERS
(a) With the exception of the probationary benefits conferred by Section 601 (h), the provisions of Subscetion C of Title IV, and the admission of aliens under Section 101(a)(15)(H)(ii) of the Immigration and Nationality Act (8 U.S.C. 1101(a)(15)(H)(ii)), as amended by Title IV,
(i)the programs established by Title IV of this Act; and (ii)the programs established by Title IV of this Act that grant legal status to any individual or adjust the current status of any individual who is unlawfully present in the United States to that of an alien lawfully admitted for permanent residence,
shall become effective on the date that the Secretary submits a written certification to the President and the Congress that the following border security and other measures are funded, in place and in operation:
Translation: Except for those illegal aliens qualifying under Section 601(h), no illegal aliens can obtain new status until the Secretary of Homeland Security sends the president and Congress a letter saying all triggers have been met.
The proposed bill goes on to detail the triggers which include the hiring of Border Patrol agents until 18,000 are on staff, the construction of at least 200 miles of vehicular barriers and 360 miles of fencing, the end of "catch and return," the establishment and use of new enforcement tools designed to keep illegals from working, and the processing of applications of aliens for Z status.
The unreasonability of the schedule for debate on this bill is exemplified by the citation to Section 601(h), which begins on page 260 of the draft bill. Thus to even begin to review the draft bill you have to know how to read such a provision and be able to print off the bill or how to work the unwieldy online draft at NationalReview.com.
When you find Section 601(h), you may be surprised to read that the exception to the triggers appears to be enormously large:
Section 601(h) Treatment of Applicants
(1)IN GENERAL --An alien who files application for Z-nonimmigrant status shall, upon submission of any evidence required under paragraphs (f) and (g) and after the Secretary has conducted appropriate background checks, to include name and fingerprint checks, that have not by the end of the next business day produced information rendering the applicant ineligible
(A)be granted probationary benefits in the form of employment authorization pending final adjudication of the alien's application;
(B)may in the Secretary's discretion receive advance permission to re-enter the United States pursuant to existing regulations governing advance parole;
(C)may not be detained for immigration purposes, determined inadmissible or deportable, or removed pending final adjudication of the alien's application, unless the alien is determined to be ineligible for Z nonimmigration status; and
(D) may not be considered an unauthorized alien (as defined in Section 274A(h)(3) of the Immigration and Nationality Act (8 U.S.C. 1324a(h)(3))) unless employment authorization under subparagraph (A) is denied.
Section 601(h)(2), (3), (4), (5), and (6) lay out additional provisions concerning this huge --indeed almost certainly 90% plus?-- portion of the illegals currently in the country that are not subject to the "triggers," and even notes in subparagraph (5) that if an illegal is arrested or detained prior to filing his or her application for Z permit status, "the Secretary shall provide the alien with a reasonable opportunity to file an application under this section after such regulations are promulgated." Unless the computer spits out a no within 2 days of submitting the application, the illegal gets probationary Z status --before even one more mile of fence is built or a workplace verification system is constructed.
Perhaps I am wrong, but I can only read Section 601(h) as a massive undercutting of the entire concept of "triggers," an undercutting which various talking points have not underscored or quantified, which points to why the jam down demanded by Senator McCain is so reprehensible. Ordinary citizens have almost zero chance of figuring out what this bill intends and how its provisions will interact, and the proxies on whom they might rely will hardly have any opportunity to fully vet the language.
As I noted below, the president and the GOP Senate leadership need to postpone any cloture vote until the law is examined, debated and amended.
Reading The Fine Print: Part 2: Title I --Who's Blowing All That Smoke?
Posted by Hugh Hewitt | 11:22 AM
A close read of Title I gives the impression that the drafters understood they'd be better off exhausting the reader with promises and declarations of good intentions before getting to the provisions of consequence.
Thus we have in Title I:
*the proposed build-up in Border Patrol agents (Sec. 502),
*much discussion of biometric data,
*an odd amendment to the existing law that appears to allow catch and release to continue but only after the posting of a $5,000 bond (Sec. 113(4)),
*a section promising to study "border security on certain federal land" which invites the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service into the action --an ominous development for anyone wanting construction of the border fence to proceed quickly and free of the Section 7 consultation provisions of the Endangered Species Act,
*a long provision on the creation of a National Strategy for Border Security in Section 127 which leaves us wondering why not develop the strategy first and implement regularization later (answer: no one will care what the strategy is later),
*another study in Section 128 on the Border Patrol's training and capacity (Section 128),
*instructions to train Customs and BP agents in fraud detection, a grant program of $50 million annually for law enforcement agencies in communities impacted by illegal immigration (but with no requirement that the grantee agencies cooperate fully with federal authorities),
*another study --Section 133's "Port of Entry Infrastructure Assessment Study", another plan, Section 134's National Land Border Security Plan, a "demonstration project"
*Section 135's "Port of Entry Technology Demonstration Program,"
*an instruction to the Secretary of Homeland Security to construct or acquire 20 new detention facilities in Section 137,
*and to top it all off in classic D.C. style, a new commission, the 17 voting member "United States-Mexico Border Enforcement Review Commission, with four appointees each from the governors of California, New Mexico, Arizona and Texas, the purpose of which is to study the overall enforcement strategies, program, and policies of Federal agencies along the U.S.-Mexican border" and to "make recommendations" about those policies.
Are your eyes irritated by all the smoke?
I think it is quite possible that every single provision called for in Title I except the increase in the authorized number of PB agents and the requirement of $5,000 bail before the release of an alien from noncontiguous countries could be accomplished by executive order.
So Title I is about 85% filler. What about the increase in border patrol agents in Sec. 101?
The draft bill calls for "not less" that 2,000 in fiscal year '07, 2,400 in '08, and 2,400 more in each fiscal year through 2012, for a total of 14,000 over six years.
But of course appropriators are not bound by this direction: authorized doesn't mean funded. A serious enforcement bill would have authorized an increase of up to 14,000 in fiscal year '07 and beyond, and laid down a real trigger of funded and deployed at some level telegraphing seriousness of purpose.
Title I doesn't inspire confidence to say the least. It does no harm, of course, though paper shuffling and useless commissions aren't exactly cost-free.
A note on the bail provision. Sec. 1 promised the end of "catch and release" by pledging a "catch and return" policy. But the bail requirement of Section 113 seems to provide well-off illegal entrants with a "catch, pay, and release" option that --in practice-- would benefit an odd group of illegal entrants: those with financial resources, which may in fact be the very people we most want to question, correct? Section 113 is an amendment to 8 U.S.C. 1226(a)(2), which currently reads:
(a) Arrest, detention, and release
On a warrant issued by the Attorney General, an alien may be arrested and detained pending a decision on whether the alien is to be removed from the United States. Except as provided in subsection (c) of this section and pending such decision, the Attorney General—
(1) may continue to detain the arrested alien; and
(2) may release the alien on—
(A) bond of at least $1,500 with security approved by, and containing conditions prescribed by, the Attorney General; or
(B) conditional parole; but
Sec. 113 "RELEASE OF ALIENS FROM NONCONTIGUOUS COUNTRIES" reads:
Section 236(a)(2)(8 U.S.C. 1226(a)(2)) is amended--
(1) by striking "on";
(2) in subparagraph (A)--
(A) by inserting "except as provided under subparagraph (B), upon the giving of a" before "bond"; and
(B) by striking "or" at the end;
(3) by redesignating subparagraph (B) as subparagraph (c)
(4) by inserting after subparagraph (A) the following:
"(B)upon the giving of a bond of not less that $5,000 with security approved by, and containing conditions prescribed by, the Secretary or the Attorney General, if the alien--
"(i)is a national of a noncontiguous country;
"(ii) has not been admitted or paroled into the United States; and
"(iii) was apprehended within 100 miles of the international border of the United States or presents a flight risk, as determined by the Secretary of Homeland Security; or"
If you wanted to end "catch and release," wouldn't the law simply declare that no bond shall be available and the alien to be detained until such time as he or she can be returned to the country of origin? There may be an explanation here that eludes me, but it looks like "catch and release" is simply not outlawed by the new law, only made less automatic.
On to Title II.
Reading The Fine Print, Part 3: Title II: Send Lawyers, Clerks, Judges, And Background Checks
Posted by Hugh Hewitt | 12:16 PM
Title II takes us into the tall weeds of immigration law and practice, and I yield the floor to anyone who actually practices in the area, and assume that the changes proposed to various standards and proceedings are sound ones which reflect a consensus among practitioners as to overdue reforms.
Title II opens up with a substantial hike in trial attorneys for various agencies, adjudicators, judicial clerks and immigration judges etc. Fine. This assumes a much greater caseload, the result it seems of an anticipated upsurge in prosecutions (though given the enormous regularization that is also going to be unleashed by the bill, it seems counter-intuitive to assume a spike upward in caseload when nearly all of the immigrants in the country illegally will suddenly be immunized from prosecution, but I digress.)
There are useful new crimes detailed, such as Sec. 1541's criminalization of "Trafficking in passports," and Section 1543's "Forgery and unlawful production of passports." Sec. 1545's "Schemes to defraud aliens" stands out as not part of immigration reform per se, but as a very vague and potentially far-reaching new federal crime:
"Any person who knowingly executes a scheme or artiface, in connection with any matter that is authorized by or arises under Federal immigration laws or any matter the offender claims or represents is authorized by or arises under Federal immigration laws to (1) defraud any person, or (2)obtain or receive money or anything else of value from any person, by means of false or fraudulent pretenses, representations, or promises, shall be fined under this title, imprisoned not more than 15 years, or both."
Law schools with Immigration Clinics had better take a long look at this one before a 2L gets carried away with his or her advice.
You'll be pleased to know that Sec. 213 prohibits the sale or possession of firearms by "certain aliens."
You will be alarmed, perhaps, that elsewhere the Secretary is ordered to study "alternatives to detention," which is odd since the end of catch and release is so prominently advertised as a selling point of the new law.
By far the most interesting aspect of Title II is "Sec. 216: STREAMLINED PROCESSING OF BACKGROUND CHECKS FOR IMMIGRATION BENEFITS"
I brought up in my interview with Tony Snow Friday the fact that everyone knows the federal governmnt simply lacks the ability to conduct millions of background checks on the illegal aliens who will be regularized by the law. The law provides they get probationary status upon filing their forms, so imagine a stack of 12 to 20 million folders, each full of a variety of documents. Anyone who has ever processed a loan application or checked references for a job applicant knows what happens next --a long, time-consuming an inexact hunt for confirming information which, more often than not, is abandoned and the paper pushed on.
Sec. 216 wonderfully looks ahead into the future of the background check program, and declares that
(1)IN GENERAL --The Secretary of Homeland Security and the Attorney General shall establish an interagency task force to resolve cases in which an application or petition for an immigration benefit conferred under this Act has been delayed due too an outstanding background check investigation for more than 2 years after the date on which such application was initially filed."
The section also authorizes the FBI to receive "such sums as are necessary for fiscal years 2008 to 2012 for enhancements to existing systems for conducting background and security checks necessary to support immigration security and orderly processing of applications," but does not begin to quantify what those sums are, or how the FBI --in a time of real terror threats such as the Fort Dix Six-- is supposed to staff up for the deluge.
The section also wants a report six months after the convening of the task force which will provide (A) a description of the background and security program; (B) a statistical breakdown of the background and security check delays associated with different types of immigration applications; (C) a statistical breakdown of the background and security check delays by applicant country of origin and (D) the steps that the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation is taking to expedite background and security checks that have been pending for more than 180 days.
This section tells us that the bill's drafters are anticipated system breakdown and perhaps even paralysis. They are convening the scapegoat search two years before the first application is due because there is simply no way that the proposed application process can work.
We are about to swamp the FBI with a tidal wave of paperwork. Not only is this foolish in the extreme, the hint that "country of origin" might be a marker worth examining in the future suggests that we know going in that we won't be able to verify much of the data on criminal backgrounds from some countries where justice systems either don't exist or aren't credible --say Afghanistan and Somalia.
But what happens with such applications? The applicants receive probationary benefits, and their applications get pushed further and further into corners of offices overwhelmed with folders until, eventually, they are thrown out.
Perhaps the draft law has some provisions deeper in about managing this obvious impossibility, but it seems that this would have been the place to put the answers --if there were any.
Reading The Fine Print, Part 4: A Huge New Tax On Business
Posted by Hugh Hewitt | 1:47 PM
Title III contains the details of the promised crack-down on employers employing illegal aliens.
Title III has teeth. “Big pointy teeth that could mangle a man in a minute” as was said of the Killer Rabbit in Monty Python and The Holy Grail.
Section 302(e) (p. 116 of the draft released Friday night at just before midnight) spells out that each instance of hiring or continuing to employ an unauthorized alien will cost the employer $5,000. Employers previously fined for doing so fork over $25K per illegal alien, and three-strikers get hit for $75K each.
There are also record keeping violations of $1,000 per violation, which will send a shudder down the backs of honest employers who work hard to jeep the illegal aliens out of their workforce but who recognize in paperwork compliance penalties the ultimate blackjack for an out-of-temper bureaucrat.
Criminal penalties are available under 302(f) (p. 122) for employers engaging in a “pattern or practice of knowing violations.”
The ruse of using contractors to avoid the law is supposedly banished under Section 302(a)(3):
For purposes of this section, an employer who uses a contract, subcontract, or exchange to obtain the labor of an alien in the United States knowing that the alien is an unauthorized alien (as defined in subsection (b)(1) with respect to performing such labor shall be considered to have hired the alien for employment in the United States in violation of paragraph (1)(A).
Much depends upon the standard applied to “knowing,” and I can’t figure that out on my first read. If there is any obligation to affirmatively check a contractors’ employees, vast changes are afoot in the U.S. labor markets.
At first glance the costs associated with this new workplace system are huge, and I would have expected the Chamber of Commerce and others to strenuously resist transfer of the costs of immigration enforcement from the federal government to the private sector. There are some significant penalties here that ordinary businesses will simply be stunned to discover especially in the paperwork department.
The willingness to go along suggests that there’s a loophole the size of a black hole hidden within the text, and again we are taken to the loophole of “probationary Z visas,” discussed in my first post on the bill’s fine print.
In Section 302(c) are listed the documents that will satisfy an employers’ burden, and there in 302(c)(1)(B)(iii) is the answer:
(B)Documents establishing both employment authorization and identity…
(iii)a temporary interim benefits card valid under section 218C9c) of the Immigration and Nationality Act, as amended by Section 602 of the Comprehensive Immigration Reform Act of 2007, baring a photograph and an expiration date, and issued by the Secretary to aliens applying for temporary worker status under the Z-visa.
Back to the immediate issuance of the probationary cards we go. The plan anticipates millions of probationary cards being issued in the immediate aftermath of the law’s passage subject to background checks which will at best be conducted months or years down the road, and possibly never. Employers will be quick to help their employees get their probationary cards and thus insulate themselves from the fines or even prosecution at least until the government catches up with its flood of probationary status applications, which as the previous post noted, isn’t likely to occur in a timely fashion, if ever.
I will leave it to software engineers to inspect the details of the proposed EEVS, but want to point out that the drafters employed some powerful language on page 107 in setting out the appeal procedures for liability determinations:
Notwithstanding any other provision of law (statutory or nonstatutory) including sections 1361 and 1651 of title 28, no court shall have jurisdiction to consider any claim against the United States…relating to a final nonconfirmation notice or to the EEVS except as specifically provided in this paragraph.
The specifics of the appeals process aren’t interesting. What matters is that the drafters used the magic language of “notwithstanding any other law” to sweep the path free of any other obstacles based on previous laws.
That’s exactly the sort of language the construction of the fence and the implementation of other border security measures requires, but which I have not yet found in the text.
Reading The Fine Print, Part 5: No Illiterate Nonimmigrants
Posted by Hugh Hewitt | 1:58 PM
Title IV is the "NEW TEMPORARY WORKER PROGRAM"and it runs 94 pages. These are the "Y visa" people, and I'll leave it to others to assess this section. I note just two provisions.
Section 218A ADMISSION OF Y NONIMMIGRANTS provides in subparagraph (d)(5)(C) that the applicant must (i)certify by signature that he or she "has read and understands all the questions and statements on the application form, (ii)certify under penalty of perjury that all statements are true and correct, and (iii) agree to the release of any information in the application for law enforcement purposes.
So we have the assurance of every future Y Visa worker being literate and bound by their oath not to have perjured themselves.
There is also, in subparagraph (m) "EVIDENCE OF NONIMMIGRANT STATUS" the assurance that each "y nonimmigrant shall be issued documentary evidence of nonimmigrant status, which...(3)may be accepted during the period of its validity by an employer as evidence of employment authorization and identity under section 274A(b)(1)(B)." The Y Visa thus seems to allow the holder to change jobs once inside the U.S., which is contrary to my understanding --which could be wrong as the bill is 630 pages-- that Y Visa holders were coming into the U.S. to perform a specific job.
Reading The Fine Print, Part 6: And The Grand Total Is?
Posted by Hugh Hewitt | 2:58 PM
I do not love thee, Dr Fell,
The reason why I cannot tell;
But this I know, and know full well,
I do not love thee, Dr Fell.
Title V "IMMIGRATION BENEFITS" is beyond the comprehension of a nonspecialist. What is clear is that the law is reshuffling the deck of get-out-of-jail-free cards, and the total number of visas it authorizes over the next few years --above and beyond the Y Nonimmigrant Visas and the Z Visas for illegals already in the country-- is impossible for a layman to calculate.
But it is certainly a very high number.
Now that doesn't necessarily mean it is a bad policy. On pages 240 to 241is an interesting grid of the point system that drives the "Merit-based Immigrant" visas, and which, for examples greatly prefers M.D.s and MBA's over high school diploma holders (20 points for the former, 6 points for the latter.) High grades on English proficiency tests also provide a huge pop to the merit application, which will certainly increase the demand for ESL teachers in certain parts of the world.
But does this reshuffling make sense in the overall scheme? Impossible to say because the sponsors of the bill did not include the sort of guide that laymen must have in order to understand the tradeoffs.
Thus Title V is another exhibit in the argument of why this bill should not be scheduled for debate until supporting materials and analyses have been developed by specialists --which means at least a couple of weeks delay before Senate consideration.
Reading The Fine Print, Part 7: "There's Been A Slight Change In Your Job Description"
Posted by Hugh Hewitt | 3:05 PM
Among the many surprises in Title VI "NONIMMIGRANTS IN THE UNITED STATES PERVIOUSLY IN UNLAWFUL STATUS" is the stipulation in Section 601(f) "Eligibility Requirements," is subparagraph (7):
Interview: An applicant for Z nonimmigrant status must appear to be interviewed.
Let's use the low number of 12 million potential Zs, and assume that an average of 3 Zs will appear for each interview, which means the feds need to schedule, conduct and write-up 4 million interviews. Is it fair to allocate, say, 2 hours per interview set-up, completion and follow up? So we need 8 million federal manhours.
Are these DHS hours? And which employees are tasked with the interview process? The bill is silent.
You should be pleased to learn that ineligibility for the nearly automatic Z status does exist, and is detailed, sort of, in Section 601(d)(1): "GROUNDS OF INELIGIBILITY" which include those already subject to a deportation order --luck of the draw, really-- and those for whom there are reasonable grounds for believing have committed serious criminal acts inside or outside of the U.S., and those "for whom there are reasonable grounds for regarding...as a danger to the security of the U.S.," which is pretty open ended. 601(d)(1)(B)
Also barred from Z-land under 602(d)(1)(D): An applicant who "has ordered, incited, assisted, or otherwise participated in the persecution of any person on account of race, religion, nationality, membership in a particular social group, or political opinion."
What in the world is that all about? An attempt to keep out those complicit in genocide in Africa, or a bar of Hezbollah members, or simply a sort of P.C. savings clause intended to keep out the ideological riff raff.
BTW: "Polygamists, child abductors, and unlawful voters" are also ineligible under Section 601(d)(2)(A)(ii). That should help cut down on voter fraud --lose your Z status if caught.
Part of the rules of admission to Z-land is the production of proof of years of continuous presence, the forms of which are detailed in 601(i) "ADJUDICATION OF APPLICATION FILED BY ALIEN." The applicant has to come up with at least two types of reliable documents that "provide evidence of employment" which include the obvious business or employer records, union records, or "sworn affidavits from nonrelatives who have direct knowledge of the alien's work," which seem to me to become the document of choice given the understandable reluctance of employers or unions to provide the feds evidence that they had previously been law breakers,
I'm back to the nagging question of how in the world anyone thinks this paper, interview and follow-up-heavy process is really going to work? It makes sense that those under 16 and those over 65 don't have to show evidence of continuous employment (601(m)(1)(B)) and that aliens with physical or mental disability as defined by the ADA get a pass (601(m)(1)(B)(iii), but each exception or special circumstance adds an enormous burden of investigation and paperwork to the already leaning tower of bureaucratic overload.
The renewal of Z visas (601(k)) puts a premium on the showing of "an attempt to gain an understanding of the English language and knowledge of United States civics by taking the naturalization test described in sections 312(a)(1) and...by demonstrating enrollment in or placement on a waiting list for English classes."
Note that you don't actually have to learn any English or civics, just get your name on the right lists. Four years after the first Z visa issues (not the probationary ones) there is going to be a boom market in ESL and civics classes offered around the country.
By the time the second renewal comes around --8 years after the issuance of the original nonprobationary Z visa-- must pass the naturalization test, though "the alien may make up to three attempts to demonstrate such understanding and knowledge." There's an exception of course for those with physical or developmental disabilities, those over 50 who have been in the country 20+ years, and those over 55 who have been here at least 15 years.
There's much more in Title VI, including special sections for agricultural workers and for minors who entered the country illegally --they are eligible under the new law for student loans and federal work-study programs under Section 616. There's also an impossible-for-me-to-read section on Social Security benefits which seems to say no credit for years worked here as an illegal alien, though I can't be sure from the language.
Finally, under Section 601(n) the new, massive class of Z visa holders "may travel outside of the United States, and may be readmitted without having to obtain a visa if the alien's most recent period of authorized admission has not expired." (p. 278).
Thus any jihadist who got himself into the country prior to 1/1/07, worked under a cover and kept his nose clean, will now be able to legitimize his status and travel abroad to get additional instructions and/or training.
The draft act's wholesale failure to make distinctions between entrants from our hemisphere and those from across the oceans and particularly those from countries with significant jihadist networks seems startling at best.
Reading The Fine Print, Part 8: Humbug And Common Sense
Posted by Hugh Hewitt | 3:53 PM
Title VII is short, a sort of encore of common sense and humbug. The common sense is the recognition in Sec. 701 that aliens currently serving in the military don't have to get fingerprinted again. But the rest is pretty much humbug. There's a declaration of English as "the common language of the United States," followed by the announcment that this status does not "diminish or expand any existing rights under the laws of the United States relative to the services or materials provided by the Government of the United States in any language other than English." In other words, a no-effect bit of theater.
There's a provision of illegal aliens over the age of 75 and some additional funding for the "Office of Citizenship and Integration," followed by the high point of absurdity in the draft law, the establishment of the "Citizenship and Integration Councils" which looks very much like a Saturday Night Live skit. Money is to be made available "to states and municipalities for effective integration of immigrants into American society through the creation of New Americans Integrations (sic) Councils.
I nominate Mickey Kaus to the California council.
Here we are at the end of the bill and there is in fact no language whatsoever pushing the border fence forward "notwithstanding any other law."
Summary Of The Fine Print Read, And NZ's Easy To Use Text
Posted by Hugh Hewitt | 4:02 PM
UPDATE: Be sure to check out N.Z. Bear's online version of the draft immigration bill which allows for section-by-section comments.
His post explaining his effort is here.
I have spent a lot of my weekend reading the draft bill as was requested by both Jon Kyl and Tony Snow, and not just of me, but of all critics. Here are the relevant posts in order of their appearance:
Part 1
Part 2
Part 3
Part 4
Part 5
Part 6
Part 7
Part 8
There are so many problems with this bill that it should not be introduced in the Senate absent a period of open hearings on it and the solicitation of expert opinion from various analysts across the ideological spectrum. Even were it somehow to improbably make its way to the president's desk, if it does so before these problems are aired and confronted, the Congress would be inviting a monumental distrust of the institution. There is simply too much here to say "Trust us," and move on. The jam down of such a far reaching measure, drafted in secret and very difficult for laymen much less lawyers to read, is fundamentally inconsistent with how we govern ourselves.
For more crucial background, see Powerline's entry on the McCain-Cornyn shouting match.
And Thinking Right has a focus on one aspect of the law which deals with disabled illegal aliens.
From A Border Patrol Agent
Posted by Hugh Hewitt | 10:55 AM
In a post below I referenced an e-mail from a Border Patrol agent. I have now receievd his permission to post it:
Hugh,
Hope you read this. I'm a Border Patrol Agent and have been assigned to
Arizona (Tucson Sector) for [many] years. This is the busiest section
of border in the nation. I have been shot at and assaulted with rocks,
bottles, etc. more times than I can count. I'm not bragging, just trying to
establish some credibility. Here are a few facts you should be aware of:
Fact: Fences are useless without Border Patrol Agents to patrol them. They
don't prevent people from crossing, they merely slow them down. Fences are
about certainty of arrest, not the physical barrier itself.
Fact: It takes one Agent per 1/4 mile to effectively control a section of
border fence. Anything less and the fence(s) are ineffective. We see it
every day; the bad guys get over, under, or through.
Fact: The U.S./Mexico Border is 1951 miles long. We need 4 agents per mile.
We would need to deploy 7804 Agents per shift, 3 shifts per day. Total
required manpower: 23,412 Agents per day. Projected BP staffing level:
18,000.
Fact: Fences are absolutely necessary ONLY in urban areas where Agents have
only seconds to minutes to make an apprehension.
Fact: The BP will never have sufficient manpower to forward deploy agents
every 1/4 mile across the border. Fence or no fence, potential terrorists,
illegal aliens and drug smugglers will exploit the areas devoid of agents.
Fact: Forward deploying every Agent in the BP will leave coverage gaps.
These gaps will be exploited. With all Agents forward deployed no Agents
will be available to cover the gaps.
Fact: Huge tracts of the border are inaccessible because of environmental
issues and/or terrain challenges
Solution: DEFENSE IN DEPTH.
1. Forward deploy Agents in URBAN areas supported by fencing and stadium
lighting (See San Diego/Texas).
2. Deploy roving patrols to rural/remote areas where agents have hours to
days to make an apprehension. These agents need support from sensors,
drive-through barriers, ground surveillance radar, infrared/daytime cameras,
UAVs, air assets, etc to create certainty of arrest.
3. Stand up permanent immigration checkpoints in Arizona on major routes of
egress from the border. Support these checkpoints with sensors, radar,
remote cameras, etc to mitigate illegal traffic attempting to circumvent it.
San Diego, New Mexico and Texas have employed this strategy with great
effect; Arizona does not and is the weak link. Tucson Sector comprises 13%
of the SW Border but accounts for nearly 40% of all BP apprehensions/illegal
entries.
Give Arizona the technology, drive-through barriers, agents and permanent
checkpoints (WHICH HAVE BEEN BANNED BY CONGRESSIONAL LANGUAGE FROM
1999-2006!!!!!) not 800+ miles of fence. It is a catastrophic waste of
money.
Ask any BP Agent on the southwest border and they'll tell you the same
thing.
Don't know if you reply to any of your Emails, but I would love to go into
greater depth if you're interested, particularly regarding checkpoints in
Arizona.
Thank you,
It seems to me that the draft bill needs to increase not only the amount of fence constructed prior to the first "probationary Z visa" issues, but also another30%+ hike in the number of BP agents.
Immigration Reform And The GOP
Posted by Hugh Hewitt | 12:43 PM
If you are "deport-them-all" anti-illegal immigration absolutist, you won't like this post. But if, like the vast majority of Republicans, you understand the need to regularize most of the millions of people in the country illegally, read on.
First, read my interview with Tony Snow for background.
Next, understand that Senator Jon Kyl is a great American who in essence volunteered to conduct the political equivalent of a suicide mission, and that Tony Snow has been tasked with defending the result. Both are superb public servants and great conservatives, as is the president that Tony works for and with whom Senator Kyl is a partner. The fiasco of the past week may have been a necessary part of achieving clarity on the bill, and Senator Kyl’s request for a close reading of the bill is one every serious conservative ought to grant..
The extraordinary blowback against the Senate "deal" has its source in three realities: First, John McCain issued one of his famous diktats which was guaranteed to rend the GOP and he did it with the usual “screw you” tone (a tone he has taken to using with his Senate colleagues.) Dean’s got a theory on why Senator McCain acts this way, which is interesting –even compelling-- but also irrelevant to the damage the Arizona senator routinely inflicts on the GOP.
In addition to the terrible branding the bill got thanks to Senator McCain, the key issues for more than a majority of the conservatives were compromised away –border security and citizenship as opposed to residency. Some additional problems come with the award of social security benefits for years worked illegally in the country, etc.
Finally, the arrogance of announcing that a deal has been reached when it hadn’t even been written combined with the jam down schedule for Senate consideration of the vast bill struck many as the ultimate insult: Here is a vital bill of incredible importance on a subject that has been passionately debated for years, and the people aren’t even invited to the debate or given the text on around which the debate revolves. That is not how a republic operates, especially for people who take their citizenship seriously.
So, can the situation be salvaged? Only if the Democrats want a bill more than they want some short-term political advantage, and only if the White House realizes how badly it managed the rollout.
First, if Senator Kyl is willing to take another one for the team, he has to announce the revisions in the collective GOP position made in response to the tidal wave of criticism. Senator Kyl alone has the sort of standing with the GOP base as to make the revisions credible. If Senator Kyl comes forward with a half dozen revisions which the GOP will insist on, including construction of the entire fence and additional barriers that were authorized last year’s law prior to the beginning of the “paperwork period” for regularization and very clear, very easily quoted language that citizenship is not open to anyone who entered the country illegally for at least the 18 years an ordinary American born here must wait to exercise his or her franchise, the DOA bill will begin to show signs of life. The benefits question also looms large, as does the national security question: We should not treat Mexicans and Central American illegal immigrants the same as young men from Arab or Central Asian countries, period. This means a deeper, thorough background check of those who come from lands with very well-developed jihadist networks, but we cannot reasonably do anything else if national security matters. We cannot pass over the prospect that jihadist sleeper cells are in this country illegally that would be legitimized and empowered by the proposed "compromise." Similarly, the proposed expansion of the Border Patrol is simply not enough –I hope to get permission to post an e-mail below that I received from a Border Patrol agent on this subject. Enough of incrementalism –get the force to its necessary size for an era of global terror networks,
Finally, the debate on the Senate floor and the final version of the bill that will go to the House should take place before cloture is voted upon. Before the final Senate version is agreed to the Senate shoudl not guarantee passage over the cloture hurdle so often employed by the Democrats over the first six years of the Bush Administration. Here is where Republicans expect Leader McConnell to insist on the rights of the Senate minority to the full extent they were employed by the Democrats. Republicans have long insisted that filibusters of legislation are unobjectionable as they are rooted so deeply in Senate history, though filibusters of judicial nominees are not. Leader McConnell will earn extraordinary stature among the party loyalists if he demands and receives the very tools that the Dems so often employed during their minority years.
There is an urgent need to regularize the illegal population for a variety of reasons, and to assure the flow of legal immigrants into the country, a flow that has usually been welcomed and absorbed. The GOP rejects the natavism of the extreme right, of course, and there are compelling reasons to endorse guest worker programs and specialized skill visas. There is also a widely-held belief in compassionate treatment of the long resident illegal and their families. The e-mail from one illegal, posted below, testifies to the extraordinary complexity of the status of the millions who are watching and waiting for this debate to conclude in a fair result.
It is possible that Dems would not welcome a fair resolution of this situation, one that is urgently needed. But if that is the case, the GOP cannot simply abandon the core beliefs of the large majority of its members in order to get something done. President Bush is to the left of his party on this issue, and his stewardship of the party ought to oblige him to respect and insist upon the changes noted above. To proceed with John McCain’s jam down will have far-reaching an terrible effects on the party. The fact that both Mitt Romney and Fred Thompson denounced the deal is the truest signal of where the party is, and that signal should be noted and absorbed if the president wants his work of his eight years to be continued by a responsible successor in 2009.
Here’s where I will post the e-mail from the Border Patrol Agent when I get back his permission to do so:
[E-mail from Tucson BP Agent]
And here’s the e-mail from an illegal immigrant, “Abe”:
Yes, I am an illegal immigrant and my name is Abe. I came here when I was 3 and didn't even need a visa because I was just a child. I found out when I was 16 and wanted to get a drivers license that i was an illegal immigrant and did not have the documents to get one.
My point of view about this immigration bill is that it is not going to reach the president. This bill has been cought between people who for some reason demand more rights for us and those people who just do not want any more immgrants coming to the country. I myself feel that I grew up and was raised american but feel ashamed to be here illegally due to my parents actions. I would ask and like for some kind of immigration status be granted with restrictions but i'm not demanding it. Most people protesting and marching down los angeles are already citizens or premanent residents which do not speak for us. I am not unskilled or a high school drop out like some studies say. I don't understand these studies because they make up numbers about people they are not supposed to be able to find. I'm not here to take jobs americans won't do and i'm not here to get on welfare or use all of the goverment services. As a human i would like someone to help me if i need emergency help but i'm not going to the doctor if i have a cold.
I have been able to work for myself and pay taxes by getting a ITIN and filing a 1099 form because I do computer repair and network installations. I don't get money returned to me and I feel I do pay my fair share of taxes without using goverment services. I also do pay taxes because i think it will help my case if there is a record that shows that i have been paying taxes if i get any immigration status. Most illegals do this for the same reason. I would say a high percentage also speaks spanish and are very well educated but the news and the media only show the farm workers who live in poverty.
Like i said, I don't expect the bill to pass either but i hope there is a chance to have a path to becoming an american and coming out of the shadows. The talking points on tv and radio are kinda misleading. We want to stay informed that's why even illegal immigrants listen to consevative talk radio.
Thanks
Abe.
Tony Snow On The Immigration Bill Fiasco
Posted by Hugh Hewitt | 9:58 PM
Here are a few of my questions and Tony's answers from this afternoon. You can read the entire interview here. The audio will be posted here later tonight. My first question concerns one of the key areas where the immigration law intersects with national security:
HH: Are young men who entered this country illegally, or who overstayed their visas illegally, whose country of origin was either in Central Asia or an Arab country eligible for regularization under this bill?
TS: Well, they would be eligible for regularization only if they met a whole series of standards. If they have broken the law while they’re here, they’re not eligible. If they do not remain continuously employed, they’re not eligible for regularization. If they do not provide, do not present themselves for a tamper-proof ID that has biometric information, submit themselves to background checks, they are not eligible for regularization. If they do not master the English language and culture, they’re not eligible for regularization.
and
HH: Now you mentioned background checks, Tony Snow.
TS: Yeah.
HH: What kind? And who’s going to do them?
TS: The federal law enforcement…I’m sorry, the Department of Homeland Security and I think the FBI will be coordinating on those....
HH: But if it’s a profile along the lines of the 9/11 hijackers, none of whom had had a previous run-in with the law, but all of whom had jihadist connections. They’d be waived through, right?
TS: Well again, let’s see, let’s walk through. No, because at least in one of those cases, you’d had, maybe in a couple of them, you’d had expired student visas, which are going to themselves be subject to far more scrutiny. And in terms of background checks, I’m going to have to go back and find out whether they kept their noses clean or not.
HH: Tony…
TS: But if you’re asking me, Hugh, if it’s going to be possible using immigration law to find out whether somebody has not previously broken the law, whether they are going to commit an act of terror, whether they are an American citizen or not? No, that’s not going to be what immigration law is about.
and
HH: But what I’m saying is if there are in fact hundreds or thousands of jihadists who have come here illegally, across the border or via visa overstays, that this law makes no provision for a special category of men, young men, originating from these countries. They’re going to be waived through. And so while immigration not may not…
TS: Well, wait a minute. What do you mean by waived through?
HH: They’re just getting in the same line with the decent, hard-working Mexicans.
TS: No, no, again, let’s step back here. What you’re doing is conflating two separate programs.
HH: No, that’s not true, Tony, because in law enforcement, you will…
TS: Well no, it is true.
HH: This law will end up adding to the cover of any sleeper. It has to.
TS: Well, no, what it does, in point of fact, Hugh, is something that the law doesn’t now do, which is to provide a comprehensive rendering of the folks who in fact are on our shores. And what it also does is gives us a greater ability to track and know who’s here, and therefore if you have actionable intelligence, much greater ability to go after these folks. So no, I strongly dispute the characterization here. What we have is the situation right now where you’ve got millions in the shadows, you don’t know who they are, you don’t know whether they have real or illegitimate ID. All of a sudden, if you’ve got tamper-proof identification that does have a biometric marking, it does make it possible for you to go through and do some analysis, whether it is using Interpol data, or FBI data, or any other data. These all get put into the database, and therefore, you still have greater capability, not merely on the basis of physical evidence that you now are going to have, that you do not presently possess.
HH: But all of a sudden, you’re also…
TS: You’re going to have that ability. And furthermore, you’re going to have the ability to track them, because you will have background checks, you will have requirements for continuous employment, you’re going to have employer reports, and so therefore, you’re going to have a much better sense of the whereabouts of such individuals.
HH: But you’re also going to legitimize their presence in the country. And if they’re good, Tony Snow…
TS: No, no…
HH: If they’re good at doing what they’re supposed to do, which is infiltrate, they will be here as long as is necessary, until they’re activated.
TS: But again, what you’ve just done, what you’re creating is a straw man here.
HH: No, I’m not.
TS: What you’re saying is…
HH: Tony, that’s not fair, because if they’re here illegally, they cannot function above board. Once they’re blessed, they will function above board, and the law does not make provision…
TS: Well no, wait a minute. What you’re saying is…I love the way that you slam this. They’re blessed? What you’re trying…what I’m telling you, Hugh, is that you appear to be advocating for a system right now where we don’t have any idea who the hell these people are…
HH: Not true.
TS: We don’t have any way of going after them.
HH: I want a provision that treats…
TS: And what we’re doing is we’re creating an inventory where you’re going to know who’s here illegally, and furthermore, you’re going to have unprecedented ability to try to focus in on those who are going to be subjects of concern. You’re also assuming that there is a complete disjunction between law enforcement activities and intelligence activity in this new database, which gives you much greater ability to figure out who these folks are. Far from being a blessing, this is an identifier, which I think is the sort of thing that you and I both would want to have.
and
HH: Which agency is actually going to do the background checks on the 11 to 12 to 20 million people who will be eligible? Which agency?
TS: Again, I have not looked at it, but I am assuming it’s a combination of DHS doing the coordination along with the FBI and other law enforcement agencies, but people will find out.
HH: And how many people, how many people do you think it’s going to take to do 11…I’ve had three full field background investigations, each one of which took about six months. You know the drill on this. You know that there is not anywhere near the number of federal employees available to do a sophisticated search of 11 to 12 million people.
TS: But what you’re also saying is that you’re advocating a full field investigation on 12 million people.
HH: No, I want to find the people we should be worried about from a national security standpoint.
TS: Exactly, exactly.
HH: But we’re not going to be looking, because you don’t identify by country of origin in this law, do you?
TS: No, but what you do have is the ability, Hugh, once again, is to figure out who’s involved. And frankly, if you start taking a look at the evolving nature of the terror network, and this is interesting, because notice what we’re doing is we’re stepping away from the merits of the immigration proposal, and we’re talking about the complexities of doing counterterrorism, which is riveting topic, but not necessarily the chief area of focus when it comes to the immigration law.
and
HH: How many miles of fence, Tony, will be built and in place, double fencing, real fencing, not virtual fencing, before the first new visa comes out for these people?
TS: 370 miles.
HH: Where will those be built?
TS: Right now, I can’t tell you exactly where they’re going to be built, but what we’ve got right now is we’ve got 112 down right now, in terms of fencing.
HH: Double fencing? Or is it…you’re not counting the speed bumps, are you?
TS: No, we’re not counting the speed bumps. There’s 78 miles of speed bumps, the vehicular…actually, 59.6 miles of speed bumps, and 78 miles of vehicular barriers.
HH: So 78…
TS: And what they’re required to have, what they’re required to have by the end of fiscal year 2008, September a year from now, 370 miles of fencing, not fake fencing, not pseudo fencing, fencing, along with 200 miles of vehicle barriers, as well as 18,000 border patrol agents hired, 70 ground-based radar and camera towers, four unmanned aerial vehicles, along with support systems so that you can get at them, a lot more in terms of the mileages, special roads that gives you ingress and egress into tough areas and so on. That is required before you start the possibility of temporary worker program, or any of that other stuff. So all of that has to happen before you kick in the other elements of the plan. You see, we do agree with the idea of security first. Furthermore, the law written last year remains fully in effect. I know that Duncan Hunter was worried that they’re watering down his requirements. No, that law remains entirely in effect. But this is the baseline requirement before you get to the temporary worker program and all that stuff.
HH: Why didn’t the administration insist on the full 854 miles of last year’s bill prior to initiating the regularization of the millions of…
TS: Okay, there are a couple of things. First, regularization, again, keep in mind, when you talk about regularization here, you’re still talking eight years down the road, which means by that time, you will have all that mileage, you’ll have it completed. We’re talking about trying to lay on, let me do my math here, another, well, basically, another 248 miles worth of fence in the next 12 months, next 15 months. So the fact is, it’s going to get built.
HH: But why did the administration agree to cutting it in half, when they had the leverage, they could have gotten the whole thing.
TS: It didn’t. It did not agree to cutting it in half. That’s one of the great falsehoods here. What is says is this is a benchmark. You’ve got to get halfway, you have to demonstrate you’re busy doing this…
HH: I understand, I understand the administration’s position that the rest will get built. Why did the administration agree to do anything prior to the whole fence getting built?
TS: Well, because at this point, what you’re still talking about is putting together a system that is another eight years in coming. At this particular point, I think what you have to ask yourself is, what is most essential in terms of guaranteeing border security? And although the fence is important, if you don’t have anybody to patrol it, and you don’t have the technical means and the other stuff at that juncture, the fence isn’t going to do you much good. It’s going to be an architectural curiosity, rather than something that is actually going to be an effective way of policing the borders.
HH: Tony, I don’t find that persuasive.
TS: So what we’re doing here is we’re setting priorities in terms of what is going to be critical first. And so, Hugh, my sense is that we have already demonstrated with increased border presence that there has been a reduction in crossing, and there has been success. So our view is do you want to wait forever in doing this? Or do you want to get about the business also, while you’re dealing simultaneously with the borders, the folks that may be trying to come over, don’t you think you need to grapple in a very real and serious way with 11 or 12 million people, some of whom you are afraid of, rightfully so, that have terrorist connections? Why don’t you get after the program also of making sure we identify them, and start getting all the security aspects of that part of the program as well?
HH: Because we could do both. I’m not persuaded by your answer, because you could do both, and the administration could have had the 854 miles built.
TS: Actually, I don’t think you could get a bill in two years. I mean, I just think as a practical matter, and as you also know…
HH: Then we shouldn’t start regularization until three years.
TS: We’re not…will you stop this? The regularization doesn’t even…you’re talking about something that doesn’t begin for eight years.
HH: Tony, they’re not leaving the country, so you’re leaving them in place, and it doesn’t fly to say that they are leaving the country, or that there’s something other than…
and
HH: Now why the jam down? Why does it get one week of debate in the Senate? Why can’t they wait at least until the Senators come home over Memorial Day to hear the outrage in their constituents’ voices?
TS: It’s not a jam down. I think you understand the rules of the Senate, which is that what they’re really talking about, this is not a jam down. What they’re going to do is they’re going to have a motion to proceed next Tuesday, which opens up debate, but also Senate rules are such that you’ve got almost an infinite ability to go ahead and do amendments, and furthermore, you’re going to have a full debate in the House of Representatives.
HH: I don’t care about the House.
TS: I understand the importance…what you do have, and by the way, this is not highly unusual.
HH: Oh, it is.
TS: A lot of times you will have a…
HH: Tony Snow, come on.
TS: No, no, I’m serious about this.
HH: The most important law of these two years, with a massive impact upon the United States, is going to get five days of debate in the Senate, and you’re saying that’s not unusual?
TS: No, what I’m telling you is the kind of effort that went in at the front end, in terms…
HH: In secret.
TS: The administration…
HH: Secret.
TS: A lot of activity, a lot of people working on both sides, that quite often happens in crafting legislation. There’s going to be plenty of time to debate this.
HH: Tony, no there’s not. Tony…
TS: And what you’re talking about…
HH: It’s a week. That’s the Senate’s declaration.
TS: No, this thing, look, this thing could very well get held over longer. As I’ve said, you’ve got the ability on the Senate floor to do infinite amendments. I’m not sure that anybody’s nailed down what the rules are going to be. And as you know, people are going to want to take a good look at it, and it does go to the House of Representatives, too. This is not something where we’re going to have a magic wand, and the bill suddenly becomes law. And again, I look forward to your having a chance to look through it, because I think you’re probably going to have a lot more positive sense of it than your original take.