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Friday, July 06, 2007
Posted by: Dean Barnett at 11:17 AM

Regarding my post below this one, liberal commenter DSkerman acidly observes,

“Very nice bar graph, and there are a few more very nice bar graphs on the page you link to. However, I did notice that there isn't a single link to any data the graphs are based on, or a link to any information as to how they acquired and calculated the data. One would hope that you would have the intellectual curiosity to attempt to find that information before accepting a brightly colored bar graph as indicative of anything. But I guess if the graph agrees with the ccnclusions you have already reached then why look deeper.”

I kind of figured that it would be obvious to people familiar with these things that the numbers came from icasualties.org, the definitive site for such nuggets even though it leans so far left it would make Ted Kennedy blanche. I checked to make sure RedState’s numbers squared with the Iraq Casualties site’s. They did.

Since we’re talking about icasualties.org, here’s another chart lifted directly from their site that details the deaths of Iraqi Security Forces and Iraqi civilians over particular time periods:

Period

ISF

Civ

Jan-05

109

NA

Feb-05

103

NA

Mar-05

176

257

Apr-05

199

301

May-05

259

572

Jun-05

296

469

Jul-05

304

518

Aug-05

282

1524

Sep-05

233

640

Oct-05

215

463

Nov-05

176

592

Dec-05

193

344

Jan-06

189

590

Feb-06

158

688

Mar-06

191

901

Apr-06

201

808

May-06

150

969

Jun-06

132

738

Jul-06

217

1063

Aug-06

233

2733

Sep-06

150

3389

Oct-06

224

1315

Nov-06

123

1741

Dec-06

123

1629

Jan-07

91

1711

Feb-07

150

2864

Mar-07

215

2762

Apr-07

300

1521

May-07

198

1782

Jun-07

197

1148

Jul-07

38

180

Since DSkerman prowls the internets for data and is open to information that contradicts his narrative, I wonder why he hasn’t shared these figures with us. After all, they do paint a pretty dramatic picture of an improving situation.

As regards my own narrative, I’ll say this: The way I view it, failure is not an option in Iraq. The results of an American defeat at the hands of Al Qaeda (and that’s what a loss in Iraq would be) would be nothing short of ruinous. Whether the Surge was showing results or not, retreat would be the absolute worst option. The price for calming America’s domestic political waters would be unthinkably high.

In other words, I’m thrilled that the Surge is working, but even if it weren’t, surrendering would be a disastrous course. If the Surge weren’t working, the correct policy prescription would be to surge harder, not to give up.

The good news regarding the surge is of course welcome. For most of us, anyway. One can only wonder why DSkerman and his kind seem greet the news with less than open arms.

Compliments? Complaints? Contact me at Soxblog@aol.com.




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